World War 3

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Vincetheprince
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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Vincetheprince » July 18th, 2008, 2:18 pm

Thanks ;)

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Sentenza » July 19th, 2008, 4:55 pm

Vincetheprince wrote:BTW Islam is the fast growing religion and at least 23% of the world is Muslim

Yea but not because of conversions but because they have the highest birth rates. In a couple of Years Israel will have an even bigger problem then they have already now.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Sentenza » July 19th, 2008, 4:57 pm

razbojnik wrote: Sicilians are a mix of Italians, Greeks and Albanians, just for the record... ;)
I am not sure how they would be Albanian? Albanians are clearly of turkish origin. IF at all Sicilians have some moorish/Arabic blood in them, but its mot much, cause thats been erased violently. Many Sicilians look like straight northern Europeans, believe it or not.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » July 19th, 2008, 8:12 pm

Sentenza wrote:
razbojnik wrote: Sicilians are a mix of Italians, Greeks and Albanians, just for the record... ;)
I am not sure how they would be Albanian? Albanians are clearly of turkish origin. IF at all Sicilians have some moorish/Arabic blood in them, but its mot much, cause thats been erased violently. Many Sicilians look like straight northern Europeans, believe it or not.
Wait wait wait, where are Macedonians from again???

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Vincetheprince » July 20th, 2008, 10:26 pm

and conversions

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Vincetheprince » August 6th, 2008, 11:12 pm

really?

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » August 7th, 2008, 8:52 am

Vincetheprince wrote:really?
There are always traitors.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Vincetheprince » August 7th, 2008, 12:28 pm

you're right

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » August 25th, 2008, 10:36 am

I just want to point out that 90 percent of the people on this forum have no idea when World War 2 happened but nevermind that.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Vincetheprince » September 24th, 2008, 3:55 pm

I know btw just wanted to let you know that

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » September 24th, 2008, 6:28 pm

Vincetheprince wrote:I know btw just wanted to let you know that
LOL HAHAHHA :D

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Vincetheprince » September 24th, 2008, 8:21 pm

HAHAHAHAHAHA LOL

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » September 29th, 2008, 8:58 am

Another possible WW3 scenario, before WW3 starts, change of territory through annexation...

Think about it. Some former Soviet states don't have the power to be take on Russia, are with Russia, and don't have any special power themselves. I've got Kazakhstan, Turkmensitan, Kyrgystan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan in mind for central Asia, if Russia wanted to annex them in a process to take over all of it's former states, then hell, these states wouldn't disagree, they would be obligued to join a new union. Georgia, Azerbajan and Armenia would have to be taken over by force, Georgia would have to be invaded for sure, Azerbajan is a 50 50 chance I'm uncertain, and Armenia will possibly surrender before being invaded. Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia will be supported by Finland in terms of proxy type supplying, and the Ukraine will never surrender, and Belarus is a Russian ally, so it might be able to be annexed, I'm sure the neighbouring countries will disagree way more than the Central Asian countries, some who might welcome it like Iran, and Belarus is an obvious geostrategic point for Russia if it wants to invade Ukraine and Belarus, having two sides to do it from...

Ukraine can be invaded both from the East, Southeast through the Black Sea, and the North, and if Belarus is taken over the Northeast won't have to be the only access point, giving Russia a full access point to take over from the North since Belarus and Russia are North of Ukraine.

Moldova won't be a problem but I'm pretty sure Romania would disagree.

NATO will gather forces on Poland and Romania's borders with Russia before a Russian invasion starts.

India will annex Bangladesh, and I'm pretty sure alot of Bangladeshians will disagree with this since the point of a war with Pakistan in the 1970s was for Bangladesh's independence, but India and Bangladesh are practically the same people...

China will annex Mongolia, Mongolia has alot of land, and most of it is useless desert and the same number of people as Macedonia, but why not take it when you have the chance??

China annexing Burma is unlikely, North Korea the same. Bhutan can be divided into Northern and Southern halves between China and India to even up the borders.

It would be best for these states if Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand and Burma joined into one state but that might not happen for all, and even better if Indonesia, Malasiya and Papua New Guinea joined in since they all connect to one another...

Japan and the States will build up forces in the Pacfic, in and around Japan, South Korea and the Phillipines with possible stand off's between Russian/Chinese/North Korean and American/Japanese/South Korean ships taking place.

Nepal can be annexed by India.

Full scale fighting between Arab nations, Israel, and Coalition/American forces will drive the Middle East into uncontrolable chaos since the geography and mixed sides call for it...

Alot of African nations will fuck eachother up and join forces against eachother with one another.

The European Union already might take the action to erase all borders and become one state with the countries it already has just so it gains an almost equal advantage over Russia and to easen up it's military operations...

North America, so Canada, Mexico and the USA will join as one nation in the North American Union and will gain more advantage during certain situations. The population advantage, for example, when Mexico adds 150 million people and Canada adds 35 milion people under Washington's control(assuming the population rises till the war starts).

In South America, if one of the BRIC(Brazil Russia India China) nations, Brazil, annexes a few territories, including Venezuela under Chavez, and it might be able to also take Uruguay, Paraguay and Bolivia, and I'm pretty sure the majority of Argentina will agree to join forces as well since Argentina and the Brits have a pretty bitter relationship over a few incidents in history, although this might not happen...

The NAU will probably send alot of it's forces to Columbia where the pro-US government will finally be taken down when the 50 year old military coup succeeds thanks to the foreign intervention of Venezuela and Brazil.

Brazil is pretty neutral at the moment, I know, alot of it's equipment comes from the states and the European Union, and we see it more as an economic power thanks to BRIC and more towards the states than towards Communism and Sino-Soviet relations...

All in all, as you can see, Citigroup just took over Wachovia bank, and I know Wachovia is not friggin Bank of America but still this is some pretty fucked up stuff going on, it's not affecting China, Russia or India, well, not that bad as it's fucking up America and it's European allies, leading me to think that China and Russia might have caused the economic crisis in America by tampering with the system through strategic economic warfare...

I know those last three words sound stupid, but if we can fight over the internet, isn't it possible we can fight using the economy and just like viruses and the cyberspace which disables defenses, there are gaps in the economic system which can ultimetly lead to a crash like this...

Nothing is ideal and nothing is perfect......

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Azure9920 » September 29th, 2008, 12:02 pm

lol

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Vincetheprince » September 30th, 2008, 4:40 pm

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA LOL

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » October 1st, 2008, 3:14 pm

Vincetheprince wrote:HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA LOL
you're fucked in the head and LOL that's a good thing :D you laugh at everything LOL better be in the realm of mania than dementia if you know what I mean :P

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Vincetheprince » October 2nd, 2008, 4:32 pm

HAHAHAHAHAHA I dont laugh at everything, just at what i find amusing and hahahahaha laughter is the greatest medicine

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » October 3rd, 2008, 6:51 am

Vincetheprince wrote:HAHAHAHAHAHA I dont laugh at everything, just at what i find amusing and hahahahaha laughter is the greatest medicine
LOL YES IT IS :D:D:D Keep laughing my friend it is good for you... AHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHHAAHHAHHAHA

AHAHAH

HAHAHAH

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Kara Ben Nemsi » October 10th, 2008, 5:58 pm

I don't spend my time worrying about WWIII. I mean what can you do about it anyway? You vote, get involved, etc... but at the end of the day if warring nations of rainbow colored apes want to push the button there's not much you can do.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » October 16th, 2008, 5:55 pm

Kara Ben Nemsi wrote:I don't spend my time worrying about WWIII. I mean what can you do about it anyway? You vote, get involved, etc... but at the end of the day if warring nations of rainbow colored apes want to push the button there's not much you can do.

Image
Why does everyone think it will be a nuclear war? How is it a world war if the war ends in a few minutes because all the countries were destroyed by nukes? That's not even an event or an incident, let alone a war...

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » October 16th, 2008, 6:03 pm

Even if it did come to nukes, don't you think both sides would take measures to disactivate the nukes before they even lift off??? So if Russia and China suddenly invade Europe and North America, and the USA decides to send nukes, don't you think Russia and China will take action to destroy all the missle silo's under US control so they don't have a chance to retaliate???????

ALSO, BEFORE PEOPLE START SAYING THAT RUSSIA OR CHINA DON'T HAVE THE FINANCIAL RESOURCES TO CONDUCT A RESPECTABLE WAR OR THAT RUSSIA DOESN'T HAVE AN EQUAL AMOUNT OF THIS, IT'S TECHNOLOGY IS OUTDATED BLAH BLAH BLAH, I'LL TELL YOU ONE THING ONE TIME ONLY --- DON'T THINK PRESENT, THINK FUTURE!!! WE'RE THROWING OUT SCENARIOS ANYWAYS AS REALSTIC AS POSSIBLE, WARTIME PRODUCTION WILL BE AT 10X WORLD WAR 2 RATE AND MOST OF THE COUNTRIES CIVILIAN POPULATED WILL BE ENSLAVED TO HELP WITH THE WAR EFFORT, AND IF NOT, PEOPLE WILL EITHER BE CLONED OR GROWN FOR THIS TASK(CLONING IS POSSIBLE, HOW ABOUT RAPID GROWTH OF A HUMAN BEING FROM A SINGLE SPERM, IT'S NOT SCIENCE FICTION IT'S SCIENTIFICALLY POSSIBLE AND WITH A SINGLE SPERM SAMPLE YOU CAN PRODUCE 400 MILLION HUMAN BEINGS AND ADJUST THEIR GROWTH PATERNS TO MAKE THEM SUPER HUMAN, LET ALONE THE FACT THAT ROBOTS WILL BE USED LIKE HELL THROUGHOUT THE WAR). AS FOR FINANCES, MONEY IS WORTHLESS DURING WAR, BOTH INTERNALLY AND EXTERNALLY, HELL WORLDWIDE.

Anyways...

1. A powerful triumvirate

No one ever imagined before 1991 that China and Russia would come together to form a close-knit alliance politically, diplomatically and, most important of all, militarily. For more than three decades before the break-up of the Soviet Union, China and the USSR had been bitter rivals, even going into a shooting war with each other along their common border.

But now the picture has changed completely. China and Russia have embraced one another and help each other ward off the military advances of the lone superpower in their respective backyards. In fact, it was a series of strategic blunders by the superpower that forced China and Russia into each other's arms. How so?

When the Soviet Union disintegrated in 1991, it would have been the best time for the US to use soft power to win over Russia into the Western fold. Russia at that time was an economic basket case, with the price of oil at $9 per barrel. But the promises of economic assistance from the US and Europe proved empty, and the Russian oligarchs were the main beneficiaries of relations with the Western powers.

NATO and EU then slowly advanced eastward, absorbing many of the countries making up the former Warsaw Pact alliance. Serbia, a close ally of Russia, was subjected to 78 days of continuous air bombardment. Regime changes were instigated by US and Western-financed non-governmental organizations in Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan - all former Soviet republics and considered Russia's backyard - giving Russia a feeling of strategic encirclement by the US and its allies. There was also the invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq, followed by the establishment of US bases and deployment of troops in Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan.

These aggressive geopolitical moves by the US pushed Russia into the waiting arms of China, which badly needed Russian energy resources, modern weapon systems and military technology as a consequence of the US-led arms embargo imposed after the Tienanmen incident. Furthermore, China also needed a reliable and militarily capable ally in Russia because of the perceived threat of the US.

Reinforcing this Chinese perception was the outrageously wanton bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade by US-led NATO forces in 1999; the spy plane incident in 2001; the unilateral withdrawal of the US from the ABM Treaty in 2002; the enhanced military cooperation between the US and Japan; the inclusion of Taiwan in the Theater Missile Defense program.; the setting up of a military base in Kyrgyzstan which is only some 250 miles from the Chinese border near Lop Nor, China's nuclear testing ground.

Add to that the announcement of President George W Bush that the US would come to the aid of Taiwan in the event that China uses force against it; the sending of two aircraft carrier battle groups to waters near Taiwan in 1995-1996; and the naval show of strength of seven aircraft carrier battle groups converging off the China coast in August 2004. All these aggressive moves by superpower America pushed China to embrace its former bitter rival, Russia.

Both China and Russia needed a secure and reliable rear; and both are ideally positioned to provide it. Moreover, their strengths ideally complement each other. It must be borne in mind that both are nuclear powers. The abundant energy resources of Russia ensures that China will not run out of gas in a major conflict - a strategic advantage over the US and its key allies.

Russia is also supplying China with many of the modern armaments and military technology it needs to modernize its defense sector. This effectively militates against the arms embargo imposed by the US and the EU on China. Russia in turn needs the increased trade with China, China's financial clout and assistance, and manufactured goods.

The coming together of China and Russia was one of the most earth-shaking geopolitical events of modern times. Yet hardly anyone noticed the transition from bitter enemity to a solid geopolitical, economic, diplomatic and military alliance. The combined strengths of the two regional powers surely surpass that of the former Warsaw Pact. If we add Iran to the equation, we have a triumvirate that can pose a formidable challenge to the lone superpower. Iran is the most industrialized and the most populous nation in the Middle East. It is second only to Russia in terms of gas resources and also one of the largest oil producers in the world. It is also one of the most mountainous countries in the world, which makes it ideal for the conduct of asymmetric and guerrilla warfare against a superior adversary.

Iran borders both the Persian Gulf and the Caspian Sea, two of the richest oil and gas regions of the world. Most importantly, it controls the gateway to the Persian Gulf - the Strait of Hormuz. Modern bottom-rising, rocket propelled sea mines and supersonic cruise missiles deployed along the long mountainous coastline of Iran, manned by "invisible" guerrillas, could indefinitely stop the flow of oil from the Gulf, from which the US gets 23% of its imported oil. Japan also derives 90% of its oil from the Persian Gulf area, and Europe about 60%. In a major conflict, Iran can effectively deprive the US war machine and those of its key allies of much needed energy supplies.

Imagine the war machine of the superpower running out of gas. Imagine also a US economy minus 23% of its imported oil. This 23% can rise considerably once Chinese and Russian submarines start sinking US-bound oil tankers. The triumvirate of China, Russia, and Iran could bring the US to its knees with a minimum of movement.

2. The US's geopolitical disadvantage

Another "acupuncture point" in America's anatomy in the event of a major conflict with China (and Russia) is its inherent disadvantage dictated by geography. Being the lone superpower, any major conventional conflict involving the US will necessitate its bringing its forces to bear on its adversaries. This means that the US must cross the Pacific, Indian, and/or Atlantic Oceans in order to bring logistics or troop reinforcements to the battlefield.

In so doing, the US will be crossing thousands of miles of sea lanes of communication (SLOC) that can easily become a gauntlet of deadly Chinese and Russian submarines lying in ambush with bottom-rising sea mines, supercavitating rocket torpedoes, and supersonic cruise missiles that even aircraft carrier battle groups have no known defense against. Logistic and transport ships and oil tankers are particularly vulnerable. The air corridors above these sea lanes will also be put at great risk by advanced air defense systems aboard Sovremenny destroyers or similar types of warships in Chinese and Russian inventories. In short, the US will be forced by geography to suffer all the disadvantages of conducting offensive operations against adversaries in Eurasia.

Of course, the US has "forces in being" and "logistics in place" in numerous military bases scattered around the world, especially those strategically encircling China, Russia, and Iran. But when the shooting war starts, these bases will be the first to be hit by barrages of short- and medium-range ballistic missiles and long-range land-attack cruise missiles armed with electro-magnetic pulse, anti-radar, thermobaric, and conventional warheads.

Following the missile barrages, the remnants of such weakened US military bases will easily be overwhelmed by blitzkrieg assaults from Russian and Chinese armored divisions in the Eurasian mainland. China, for instance, has four large armored units constantly on standby, poised to cross the Yili Corridor in Xinjiang province at a moment's notice. The US base in Kyrgyzstan near the Chinese border would not stand a chance.

China, Russia and/or Iran, on the other hand, will operate on interior lines within the Eurasian mainland. When they move troops and logistics to meet any threat on the continent, they will have relatively secure lines of communication and logistics, using inland highways, railways and air transport.

Since the US cannot correct the dictates of geography, it and its main allies Japan and the UK will have to live and fight with this tremendous geopolitical disadvantage. Of course the US can bypass this geographic obstacle if it attacks China and Russia with its intercontinental ballistic missiles, sea-launched ballistic missiles and strategic bombers in a nuclear first strike, but China and Russia have the means to retaliate and obliterate the United States and its allies as well.

There are some among the leading neo-conservatives in the US who believe that a nuclear war is winnable; that there is no such thing as mutually assured destruction (MAD). Well, that truly mad way of thinking may well spell the end of planet earth for all of us.

3. Asymmetric attack

Superpower America is particularly vulnerable to asymmetric attack. A classic example of asymmetric attack is the September 11, 2001, attack on America. Nineteen determined attackers, armed with nothing but box cutters, succeeded in toppling the twin towers of the World Trade Center in New York City and causing the death of some 3,000 Americans. Notice the asymmetry of casualty ratio as well - the most lopsided casualty ratio ever recorded in history.

China, Russia, and Iran also possess asymmetric weapons that are designed to neutralize and defeat a superpower like America in a conventional conflict. Supersonic cruise missiles now in their inventories can defeat and sink US aircraft carriers. The same is true for medium- and short-range ballistic missiles with independently targetable warheads, extra-large bottom-rising, rocket-propelled sea mines (EM52s), and supercavitating rocket torpedoes (SHKVAL or "Squall"). The US Navy has no known defense against these weapons.

Iraqi insurgents are conducting a form of asymmetric warfare. They use improvised explosive devices, car bombs, booby traps and landmines against the most modern army the world has ever seen. The US's huge advantage in weaponry is negated by the fact that its soldiers cannot see their adversary. They are fighting against a "phantom" enemy - an invisible army.

And how can you win against an enemy you cannot see? This may be one reason why reports of massacres of Iraqi civilians by US soldiers have been increasing lately. But turning sophisticated weapons against civilians will never win wars for America. It will only heighten the rage of the victimized population and increase suicide bombings against US forces. Connected to asymmetric warfare is asynchronous warfare, where the weaker side bides its time to strike back. And it strikes at a time and place where the adversary is totally unprepared.

For example, if the US were to strike Iran's underground nuclear facilities with bunker-busting tactical nuclear warheads, Iran could bide its time until it develops its own nuclear weapons. It could then use its Kilo class submarines, equipped with supersonic "moskit" cruise missiles armed with Iran's own nuclear warheads, to hit New York, or Washington, DC as a payback to the US for using nuclear weapons against Iran. Or the Iranians could infiltrate nuclear scientists into the US, where they would fabricate a "dirty" bomb to be detonated near the US Congress, in full session while the president is making his annual state of the nation address.

The possibilities for asymmetric and asynchronous warfare are limitless. Various weapons are available to the asymmetric or asynchronous attacker. If a simple box cutter produced such devastating results on September 11, 2001, imagine what chemical or biological weapons dropped from a private aircraft could do to a crowded city; or trained hackers attacking the US banking system and other key infrastructure and basic services; or man-portable surface-to-air missiles attacking US airlines taking off or landing in various airports around the globe; or non-nuclear electromagnetic pulse weapons hitting New York City or the US Capitol. No amount of even the best intelligence in the world can totally guard against and stop a determined asymmetric attacker.

4. Attack on US's command and control

C4ISR stands for command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance. In a war situation, C4ISR is a prime target because therein lies the center of gravity of one's adversary. Neutralizing C4ISR is like cutting off the head of a chicken. It can run around in circles for a while, but will soon collapse and die. The same is true in warfare.

Having the mightiest and most modern armed forces in the world, America prides itself with having the most sophisticated and advanced C4ISR. US military spy satellites can gather intelligence data and disseminate it on a real time basis. US surveillance and reconnaissance satellites are so sophisticated that their sensors can detect objects on Earth as small as one-tenth of a meter in size, from several hundred miles up. Satellite sensors can also penetrate clouds and bad weather or see in the night. Some of these spy satellites can also monitor radio or telephone conversations.

Aside from communications, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, satellites are also used for navigation, most especially in guiding ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, aircraft and other smart weapon systems to their targets. Without satellite guidance, such "smart" and precision weapons turn into "dumb" bombs and directionless missiles.

The advances in C4ISR are rapidly revolutionizing warfare. Gathering, processing, disseminating, and acting on intelligence is now made possible on a real-time or near real-time basis on a global or regional level. Because of these developments, a new war principle is emerging in the modern battlefield: "If the enemy sees you; you are dead."

The US is far advanced in its C4ISR compared with, for instance, China. China cannot hope to catch up and match the American system anytime soon. So in order for China to survive in the event of a major conflict with the US, China has to resort to asymmetric means. This means that China has to develop effective means of countering and neutralizing America's C4ISR. And that is what China had been working on for more than two decades now.

The heart of America's C4ISR lies in its technologically sophisticated satellites. But this seeming strength is also an Achilles' heel. Neutralize or destroy the key satellites, and America's major forces, such as aircraft carrier battle groups, are blinded, muted, and decapitated. This concept is part of China's strategy for "defeating a superior with an inferior" called shashaojian, or "assassin's mace". It is like the mace kept by ladies in their bags, which they use when attacked by a mugger or rapist. They squirt the mace into the eyes of an attacker to temporarily blind him, giving the intended victim time to escape.

China now has the capability to identify and track satellites. And for more than two decades they have been busy developing anti-satellite weapons. China has been developing maneuverable nano-satellites that can neutralize other satellites. They do their work by maneuvering near a target satellite and neutralizing the target by electronic jamming, electro-magnetic pulse generation, clinging to the target and physically destroying it, bumping the target out of orbit, or simply exploding to bring the target satellite down with it. Such nano satellites can be launched in batches on demand by road-mobile DF21 or DF31 booster rockets.

Another anti-satellite weapon in the works is a land-based laser that blinds the sensitive sensors of satellites or even destroys them completely. Of course, if worse comes to worst, China can always use its weapon of last resort, destroying adversary satellites with a high-altitude nuclear burst. But this will only be used if China has not yet fully developed the other options when major hostilities start. With the neutralization of its C4ISR, America would be like "a blind man trying to catch fish with his bare hands", to quote Mao Zedong. In short, America would be brought to its knees.

5. Attack on US aircraft carrier battle groups

Aircraft carrier battle groups are the mainstay of US military supremacy. They serve as America's chief instrument for global power projection and world dominance. In this category, the US has no equal. At the moment, the US maintains a total of 12 aircraft carrier battle groups. In comparison, China has none.

From June to August 2004, the US, for the first time in its naval history, conducted an exercise involving the simultaneous convergence of seven of its 12 aircraft carrier battle groups to within striking distance of China's coast. This was the biggest and most massive show of force the world has ever seen. It was to remind China that if it uses force against Taiwan, China will have to contend with this kind of response.

It was mentioned earlier that China's strategy in defeating the superior by the inferior is shashaojian or the "assassin's mace". "Mace" is not only a blinding spray; it is also a meaner and deadlier weapon, a spiked war club of ancient times used to knock out an adversary with one blow. The spikes of the modern Chinese mace may well spell the end for aircraft carriers.

The first of these spikes consists of medium- and short-range ballistic missiles (modified and improved DF 21s/CSS-5 and DF 15s) with terminally guided maneuverable re-entry vehicles with circular error probability of 10 meters. DF 21s/CSS-5s can hit slow-moving targets at sea up to 2,500km away.

The second spike is an array of supersonic and highly accurate cruise missiles, some with range of 300km or more, that can be delivered by submarines, aircraft, surface ships or even common trucks (which are ideal for use in terrain like that of Iran along the Persian Gulf). These supersonic cruise missiles travel at more than twice the speed of sound (mach 2.5), or faster than a rifle bullet. They can be armed with conventional, anti-radiation, thermobaric, or electro-magnetic pulse warheads, or even nuclear warheads if need be. The Aegis missile defense system and the Phalanx Close-in Defense weapons of the US Navy are ineffective against these supersonic cruise missiles.

A barrage of these cruise missiles, followed by land-based intermediate- or short-range ballistic missiles with terminal guidance systems, could wreak havoc on an aircraft carrier battle group. Whether there are seven or 15 carrier battle groups, it will not matter, for China has enough ballistic and cruise missiles to destroy them all. Unfortunately for the US and British navies, they do not have the capacity to counter a barrage of supersonic cruise missile followed by a second barrage of ballistic missiles.

The first and second spikes of the "assassin's mace" are sufficient to render the aircraft carrier battle groups obsolete. But there is a third spike which is equally dreadful. This is the deadly SHKVAL or "Squall" rocket torpedo developed by Russia and passed on to China. It is like an under-water missile. It weighs 6,000lbs and travels at 200 knots or 230mph, with a range of 7,500 yards. It is guided by autopilot and with its high speed, makes evasive maneuvers by carriers or nuclear submarines highly difficult. It is truly a submarine and carrier buster; and again, the US and its allies have no known defense against such a supercavitating rocket torpedo.

The "assassin's mace" has still more spikes. The fourth spike consists of extra-large, bottom-rising, rocket-propelled sea mines laid by submarines along the projected paths of advancing carrier battle groups. These sea mines are designed specifically for targeting aircraft carriers. They can be grouped in clusters so that they will hit the carriers in barrages.

The final spike of the mace is a fleet of old fighter aircraft (China has thousands of them) modified as unmanned combat aerial vehicles fitted with extra fuel tanks and armed with stand-off anti-ship missiles. They are also packed with high explosives so that after firing off their precision-guided anti-ship missiles on the battle group, they will then finish their mission by dive-bombing "kamikaze" style into their targets.

If we now combine the mace as a means of blinding an adversary and the mace as a spiked war club, one can see the complete picture of how China will use the "assassin's mace" to send America's aircraft carrier battle groups into the dustbin of naval history. Although China does not possess a single operational aircraft carrier, it has converted the entire China mainland into a "virtual aircraft carrier" that is unsinkable and capable of destroying all the aircraft carrier battle groups that the US and its allies can muster.

The sad part for the US Navy is that even if American leaders and naval theorists realize the horrible truth that aircraft carriers have been rendered obsolete in modern warfare by China's "assassin's mace", the navy cannot just change strategy or discard its carriers. Hundreds of billions of dollars have been poured into those weapon systems and hundreds of thousands of jobs would be affected if such behemoths are turned into scrap. Besides, even if US Navy authorities wanted to change strategy, the all-powerful and influential military-industrial complex lobby would not allow it.

So, if and when a major conflict between the US and China occurs, say over the issue of Taiwan, pity those thousands of American sailors who are unfortunate enough to be in one of those aircraft carrier battle groups. They won't stand a chance.

A challenge to America

The 10 "acupuncture points" mentioned in this article (See also Part 1: Striking the US where it hurts) are like a 10-stage riddle. It is an "assassin's mace" or war club of olden times with 10 deadly spikes. Any one of those spikes can bring America to its knees. I therefore throw this riddle to the think tanks in the Pentagon, to the US Congress, to the president's men, to US academe, and to every concerned American.

America is in the last two minutes of the fourth quarter of the "great game", and it is behind in points. If America can solve the riddle in time, it wins the game, it can seize global leadership, and the 21st century will truly be the American Century.

On the other hand, failure to solve the riddle will shake America to its very foundation and cause this great nation to collapse - just like that vivid image of the collapsing Twin Towers familiar to each and every American. America loses, and it will be down and out for the rest of this century.

Wake up, America!

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If it comes to a shooting war ...
By Victor N Corpus


One could call this article a worst-case scenario for the new American century. Why worst case? Because of the hard lessons from history. The Romans did not consider the worst-case scenario when Hannibal crossed the Alps with his elephants and routed them; or when Hannibal encircled and annihilated the numerically superior Roman army at the Battle of Cannae.

The French did not consider the worst-case scenario at Dien Bien Phu and when they built the Maginot Line, and the French suffered disastrous defeats. The Americans did not consider the worst-case scenario at Pearl Harbor or on September 11, and the results were disastrous for the American people. Again, American planners did not consider the worst-case scenario in its latest war in Iraq, but instead operated on the "best-case scenario", such as considering the Iraq invasion a "cake walk" and that the Iraqi people would be parading in the streets, throwing flowers and welcoming American soldiers as "liberators", only to discover the opposite.

Scenario One: America launches 'preventive war' vs China
Our first objective is to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival. This is a dominant consideration underlying the new regional defense strategy and requires that we endeavor to prevent any hostile power from dominating a region whose resources would, under consolidated control, be sufficient to generate global power. These regions include Western Europe, East Asia, the territory of the former Soviet Union and Southwest Asia.
–Paul Wolfowitz, former US deputy secretary of defense and currently president of the World Bank
Consider these snapshots of China:

Since 1978, China has averaged 9.4% annual GDP growth

It had a five-fold increase in total output per capita from 1982 to 2002

It had $61 billion in foreign direct investment in 2004 alone and foreign trade of $851 billion, the third-largest in the world

The US trade deficit with China exceeded $200 billion in 2005

China has $750 billion in foreign exchange reserves and is the second-biggest oil importer

Last year it turned out 442,000 new engineers a year; with 48,000 graduates with master's degrees and 8,000 PhDs annually; compared to only 60,000 new engineers a year in the US.

China for the first time (2004) surpassed America to export the most technology wares around the world. China enjoyed a $34 billion trade surplus with the US in advanced technology products in 2004 (The Economist, December 17, 2005). In 2005, the surplus increased to $36 billion

It created 20,000 new manufacturing facilities a year

It holds $252 billion in US Treasury Bonds (plus $48 billion held by Hong Kong)

Among the five basic food, energy and industrial commodities –grain and meat, oil and coal and steel –consumption in China has eclipsed that of the US in all but oil.

China has also gone ahead of the US in the consumption of TV sets, refrigerators and mobile phones

In 1996, China had 7 million cell phones and the US had 44 million. Now China has more mobile phone users than the US has people.

China has about $1 trillion in personal savings and a savings rate of close to 50%; U.S. has about $158 billion in personal savings and a savings rate of about 2% (The Wall Street Journal, Nov 19, 2005)
Shanghai boasts 4,000 skyscrapers – double the number in New York City (The Wall Street Journal, Nov 19, 2005)
Songbei, Harbin City in north China is building a city as big as New York City

Goldman Sachs predicts that China will surpass the US economy by 2041.

Before China's economy catches up with America, and before China builds a military machine that can challenge American superpower status and world dominance, America's top strategic planners (Project for the New American Century) decide to launch a "preventive war" against China. As a pretext for this, the US instigates Taiwan to declare independence.

Taiwan declares independence!
China has anticipated and long prepared itself for this event. After observing "Operation Summer Pulse –04" when US aircraft carrier battle groups converged in the waters off China's coast in mid-July through August of 2004, Chinese planners began preparing to face its own worst-case scenario: the possibility of confronting a total of 15 carrier battle groups composed of 12 from America and three from its close British ally. China's strategists refer to its counter-strategy to defeat 15 or more aircraft carrier battle groups as the "assassin's mace" or shashaujian.

After proper coordination with Russia and Iran and activating their previously agreed strategic plan, troops and weapon systems are pre-positioned. China then launches a missile barrage on Taiwan. Command and control nodes, military bases, logistics centers, vital war industries, government centers and air defense installations are simultaneously hit with short and medium range ballistic missiles armed with conventional, anti-radar, thermo baric and electro-magnetic pulse warheads.

At the North American Aerospace Defense (NORAD) Command and Control Center, ranking defense officials watch huge electronic monitor screens showing seven US and two British aircraft carrier battle groups converging on the East China Sea with another three US carrier battle groups entering the Persian Gulf, while the remaining two US and one British battle groups remain in the Indian Ocean to serve as a strategic reserve.

As the aircraft carrier battle groups advance, China draws out one of its "trump cards" by leaking to the world media that it is dumping its holdings of US Treasury bonds and shifting to gold and euros.

Meanwhile, strategic planners at NORAD watch with glee as they observe on the screen as monitored by their radar satellites that Chinese surface ships are making a hasty retreat as nine allied carrier battle groups advance toward the Philippine Sea and Chinese waters near Taiwan.

The assassin's mace: China's anti-satellite weapons
Glee and ecstasy soon turn to shock as monitor screens suddenly go blank. Then all communication via satellites goes dead. China has drawn its second "trump card" (the assassin's mace) by activating its maneuverable "parasite" micro-satellites that have unknowingly clung to vital (NORAD) radar and communication satellites and have either jammed, blinded or physically destroyed their hosts.

This is complemented by space mines that maneuver near adversary satellites and explode. Secret Chinese and Russian ground-based anti-satellite laser weapons also blind or bring down US and British satellites used for C4ISR (command, control, communication, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance). And to ensure redundancy and make sure that the adversary C4ISR system is completely "blinded" even temporarily, hundreds of select Chinese and Russian information warriors (hackers) specifically trained to attack their adversary's C4ISR systems simultaneously launch their cyber offensive.

For a few precious minutes, the US and UK advancing carrier battle groups are stunned and blinded by the "mace", ie, a defensive weapon used to temporarily blind a stronger opponent. But the word mace has another meaning; one which is deadlier and used in combination with the first.

A mace can be a spiked war club used in olden times to knock out an opponent. Applied in modern times, the spikes of the assassin's mace refer to currently unstoppable supersonic cruise missiles capable of sinking aircraft carriers that are in China's inventory; complemented by equally unstoppable "squall" or SHKVAL rocket torpedoes and regular 65 cm-diameter wake-homing torpedoes, bottom-rising rocket-propelled mines, and "obsolete" warplanes converted into unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs) firing anti-ship missiles from standoff positions and finally dive-bombing into the heart of the US and UK aircraft carrier armada.

Missile barrage on advancing carrier battle groups
A few seconds after the "blackout", literally hundreds of short and medium-range ballistic missiles (DF7/9/11/15s, DF4s, DF21X/As, some of which are maneuverable) pre-positioned on the Chinese mainland, and stealthy, sea-skimming and highly-accurate cruise missiles (YJ12s, YJ22s, KH31A/Ps, YJ83s, C301s, C802s, SS-N-22s, SS-NX-26/27s, 3M54s & HN3s) delivered from platforms on land, sea and air race toward their respective designated targets at supersonic speed.

Aircraft carriers are allotted a barrage of more than two dozen cruise missiles each, followed by a barrage of short and medium-range ballistic missiles timed to arrive in rapid succession.

Supersonic cruise missiles constitute China's third deadly "trump card" against the US – part of the so-called assassin's mace. These unstoppable cruise missiles may be armed with 440-lb to 750-lb conventional warheads (or 200-kiloton tactical nuclear warheads 10 times stronger than Hiroshima) traveling at more than twice the speed of sound (or faster than a rifle bullet).

The cruise missiles, together with the SRBMs and MRBMs (short and medium-range ballistic missiles) may also be armed with radio frequency weapons that can simulate the electro-magnetic pulse of nuclear explosions to fry computer chips, or fuel-air explosives that can annihilate the personnel in aircraft carriers and battleships without destroying the platforms.

Their effective range varies from less than 100 to 1,800 kilometers from stand-off positions. Delivered by long-range fighter-bombers and submarines, their range can be extended even further. In fact, stealthy Chinese and Russian submarines can deliver such nuclear payloads to the US mainland itself.

No US defense vs supersonic cruise missiles
The US and UK aircraft carrier battle groups do not have any known defense against the new supersonic missiles of their adversaries. The Phalanx and Aegis ship defense systems may be effective against subsonic cruise missiles like the Exocets or Tomahawks, or exo-atmospheric ballistic missiles, but they are inadequate against the sea-skimming and supersonic Granits, Moskits and Yakhonts or similar types (Shipwreck, Sunburn and Onyx - North Atlantic Treaty Organization codenames) of modern anti-ship missiles in China's inventory.

Not only China and Russia have these modern cruise missiles, so do Iran, India and North Korea. These missiles can be delivered by SU-27 variants, SU-30s, Tu22M Blackjacks, Bears, J6s, JH-7/As, H-6Hs, J-10s, surface ships, diesel submarines or common trucks.

Adding to the problems facing aircraft carriers are the SHKVAL or "squall" rocket torpedoes installed in some Chinese and Russian submarines and surface ships. At 6,000 lbs apiece, these torpedoes travel at 200 knots (or 230 miles per hour) with a range of 7,500 yards guided by autopilot. They are designed to sink aircraft carriers and nuclear submarines. Again, it is unfortunate for the US and UK to have no known or existing defenses against this new generation of rocket torpedoes.

China's sea mines
Complicating matters for the US aircraft carrier battle groups are the hundreds of hard-to-detect, rocket-propelled, bottom-rising sea mines that are anchored and hidden on the sea bottom covering pre-selected battle sites in the East China Sea and the Philippine Sea designed to home in on submarines and surface ships, particularly aircraft carriers.

These sophisticated sea mines (EM-52s) have been deployed by Chinese and Russian submarines before the missile attack on Taiwan in anticipation of the major event that is to follow.

Finally, in addition to all these asymmetric weapons, the US and UK aircraft carrier battle groups will have to contend with the thousands of "obsolete" Chinese fighter planes converted into unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs) launching missiles at stand-off positions and finally diving kamikaze-style into the heart of the carrier battle groups.

Chinese and Russian submarines fire their inventory of anti-ship cruise missiles (ASCMs) and "squall" rocket torpedoes at the aircraft carriers and submarines of the US and UK as the carrier battle groups come within range. As the battle progresses, the Chinese and Russian submarines maneuver to the rear of the carrier battle groups to complete the encirclement.

In less than an hour after launching the saturation barrage of missiles on the US and UK naval armada, all the aircraft carriers and their escorts of cruisers, battleships and several of the accompanying submarines are in flames, sinking or sunk, turning the East China Sea and the Philippine Sea into a modern-day "Battle of Cannae".

Meanwhile, the Chinese fleet that conducted a strategic retreat forms a phalanx along the forward positions off China's coast, ready to augment the hundreds or thousands of land-based long-range surface-to-air missiles of China (SA-10s, SA-15s and SA-20s) with their own short, medium and long-range air defense missile systems.

Applying its long-held military doctrine of "active defense", China also launches simultaneous missile attacks on the forces-in-being and logistics-in-place of the US and its allies in Japan, South Korea, Guam, Okinawa, Diego Garcia and Kyrgyzstan, hitting these US bases with missiles armed with radio frequency weapons, fuel-air explosives and conventional warheads. As another Chinese military doctrine states: "Win victory with one strike."

Chinese and Russian missiles cocked
Both Chinese and Russian inter-continental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and the two countries' extensive air defense systems have been coordinated and ready to respond in the event that the US and UK decide to retaliate with a nuclear attack.

In addition, Ranets-E and Rosa-E radio frequency/electro-magnetic pulse systems scattered all along China's coastal cities are on the look-out to neutralize incoming missiles and aircraft that may respond after the attack on the aircraft carrier battle groups. These systems can work in tandem with airborne-based anti-missile laser systems now in China's inventory.

China's trump cards vs the US
China's deadly "trump cards" (ie, the huge holdings of US Treasury bonds, the anti-satellite weapons system, the supersonic anti-ship cruise missiles, SRBMs, MRBMs, "squall" rocket torpedoes, sea mines, UCAVs, DF31A and DF41 road-mobile ICBMs, JL2 SLBMs, air defense system, IO/EW/IW, and other RMA weapons) are the key ingredients of the assassin's mace.

China may not possess any of those expensive aircraft carriers of the superpower, but it can wipe out those carrier battle groups with a "single blow" of its assassin's mace or shashaujian –its major tool for conducting asymmetric warfare to defeat the US in a major confrontation over the Taiwan issue or other issues.

The US may possess the most powerful war machine in the world, but it can be defeated by an inferior force by avoiding the superpower's strength and exploiting its weaknesses. Again, an integral part of Chinese doctrine is: "Victory through inferiority over superiority." One famous Chinese strategist, Chang Mengxiong, compared asymmetric warfare to "a Chinese boxer with a keen knowledge of vital body points who can bring a stronger opponent to his knees with a minimum of movement".

The sad part for the American people, particularly the innocent sailors who will be manning the battle groups, is that even if US planners come to realize that the aircraft carrier battle groups (which are the mainstay of the US Navy and the main instrument of US power projection worldwide), have been rendered vulnerable or obsolete by China's assassin's mace.

The US cannot simply change strategy or discard such a weapons system. To change strategy or "retool" would mean wasting hundreds of billions of dollars invested in those highly sophisticated systems. The strong lobbying of influential defense contractors making those systems would make change extremely difficult.

For defense authorities to admit the strategic blunder constitutes an almost insurmountable barrier to a change of strategy. And finally, the loss of hundreds of thousands of jobs related to those systems may be politically and economically unbearable for any US administration to bear should the program for the aircraft carrier battle groups be scrapped. Because of these factors, America may be stuck with an obsolete system that is too expensive to maintain but will only lose the war for the US when employed in a major conflict.

Meanwhile, on the Middle East Front
On another major front, on previously coordinated signals with China and Russia, Iran lets loose its own barrage of supersonic Granit, Moskit, Brahmos and Yakhont cruise missiles carried by trucks or hidden in man-made tunnels all along the mountainous shoreline of Iran fronting the Persian Gulf.

The three US aircraft carrier groups that entered the Persian Gulf to ensure the unhindered flow of Arab oil are likely to be helpless "sitting ducks" against the bottom-rising sea mines and low-flying, supersonic anti-ship cruise missiles in Iranian hands. In the process, a couple of oil tankers about to exit the Strait of Hormuz are hit with the aid of rocket-propelled sea mines, thus effectively blockading the narrow strait and stopping oil supplies from coming out of the Middle East.

A "weak" nation like China or Iran, without a single aircraft carrier in their respective navies, could thus obliterate the carrier battle groups of a superpower. Here, one can see the hidden and often unnoticed power of asymmetric warfare, which may well spell the end of "gunboat diplomacy" in the not so distant future.

The Central Asian front
On yet another major front in Central Asia, Russian troops lead the other member-countries of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO - Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan) into a major offensive against US military bases in Central Asia.

The bases are first subjected to a simultaneous barrage of missiles with fuel-air explosives and electromagnetic pulse (EMP) warheads before they are overrun and occupied by SCO coalition forces. The missile attack on the US bases is followed by a lightning attack by four mechanized armored divisions coming from the Yili Korgas pass of China's Xinjiang province, linking up with Russia's own armored divisions in a pincer offensive against US forces in Central Asia and the Middle East.

America crippled on three major fronts
In just a few hours (or days) after the outbreak of general hostilities, America, the world's lone superpower, finds itself badly crippled militarily in three major regions of the world: East Asia, Central Asia and the Middle East.

Impossible? Unfortunately, the answer is no. China now has the know-how and the financial resources to mass-produce hundreds, if not thousands, of Moskit, Yakhont and Granit-type supersonic anti-ship cruise missiles and "squall"-type rocket torpedoes against which US and UK aircraft carriers and submarines have no known defense.

Iran, on the other hand, already possesses the same supersonic cruise missiles that can destroy any ship in the Persia Gulf, including aircraft carriers. Russia and China, meanwhile, are operating on familiar grounds close to their territory, compared to the US, which needs to cross the Atlantic and Pacific to replenish troops and logistics.

A geopolitical reality America has to face
An important consideration in any US-China conflict is the geopolitical reality that the US and its allies will be operating on exterior lines, while China will operate on interior lines. This gives China a huge advantage in a major war in Asia against US and allied forces.

Consider the long sea lanes of communication (10,000 kilometers) that the US alliance would be forced to cross each time its forces had to resupply and you get an idea of the huge logistics problem that the US would face in a confrontation with China.

Such lengthy sea lanes of communication (SLOC) are highly vulnerable to a gauntlet of Chinese and Russian submarines lying in ambush along the route laden with underwater sea mines. This will make transporting personnel and equipment by the US over the Pacific or the Atlantic extremely dangerous and expensive.

Compare this US handicap with troop movement by Chinese troops using heavy-lift aircraft, railways and highways within the China mainland. China's interior lines of communication are shorter and protected, with little chance for enemy interdiction. Chinese troops can concentrate numerically superior forces rapidly at any given point to defeat invading US forces one by one with much shorter and less vulnerable lines of communication.

And in the event that the US forces and their allies are lucky enough to land on the Chinese mainland, they will be faced not only with a conventional People's Liberation Army of more than 2 million, but also with a people's militia conducting asymmetric warfare and a people's war in its teeming millions. US forces and their allies will be like a raging bull charging and goring a hive of killer bees. US forces may be able to set foot in China, but it is highly doubtful if they could come out alive.

Grimmer scenarios
There is a scenario grimmer than described above, however, and that is if strategic planners belonging to that elite group called the Project for the New American Century decide to launch a nuclear "first strike" against China and Russia and risk a mutually-assured destruction: 1)In defense of Taiwan ... or 2) In launching a "preventive war" to stop China from catching up economically and militarily. Or, if China decides to start an offensive against Taiwan with a one-megaton nuclear burst 40 kilometers above the center of the island. Or, if China and Russia decide to arm a number of their short and medium-range ballistic missiles and supersonic cruise missiles with tactical nuclear warheads in defending themselves against US and UK aircraft carrier battle groups.

Land-attack versions of these supersonic cruise missiles armed with nuclear warheads carried by stealthy Chinese and Russian submarines can also put American coastal cities at great risk to nuclear devastation. Strategic planners must also consider these worst-case possibilities.

Scenario two: America vs a medium power
"In the Middle East and Southwest Asia, our overall objective is to remain the predominant outside power in the region and preserve US and Western access to the region's oil." - Paul Wolfowitz

"I cannot think of a time when we have had a region emerge as suddenly to become as strategically significant as the Caspian. But the oil and gas there is worthless until it is moved. The only route which makes both political and economic sense is through Afghanistan." – Dick Cheney in 1998 as chief executive of a major oil services company

History is replete with vivid examples where a much stronger and larger force has been defeated by a weaker and smaller force. The French were defeated by Vietminh guerrillas in Dien Bien Phu. Soviet Union forces, still a superpower at that time, were defeated in Afghanistan. And another superpower, the United States, was defeated by "ill-clad, ill-fed and ill-armed" Vietcong guerrillas in Vietnam.

Asymmetric warfare
If the US pushes through its plan of world domination, then it should expect all the smaller and weaker countries that do not wish to be pushed around to fight back using asymmetric warfare. This is a form of warfare that allows the weak to fight and defeat a much stronger foe by "attacking the enemy's weakness while avoiding his strengths".

The US, for instance, may possess the most sophisticated weapons system on Earth. It may have the most modern planes, helicopters, ships, guns, precision-guided weapons, sophisticated sensors and command and control systems, but if it cannot see its adversary, if it is fighting a shadowy and "invisible" enemy (like American and British forces are experiencing in Iraq), such advanced and sophisticated weapons systems are rendered useless.

In asymmetric warfare, most of the fighting is conducted at the team level. Thousands of agile and elusive teams consisting of two to five members equipped with man-portable surface-to-air missiles, portable anti-tank guided weapons, sniper rifles, man-portable mortars, anti-tank mines, anti-personnel mines, sea mines, C4 explosives (for making car bombs, booby-traps and improvised explosive devices or IEDs) riding on bicycles and motorcycles and fast boats will make the lives of any invading or occupying forces extremely miserable.

These "invisible" agile teams merge with the population most of the time and come out only when there is a vulnerable target to strike at. Then, they disappear into the shadows. They communicate via runners bringing coded written messages, so there are no electronic signals to track down. They operate semi-autonomously, so there are no centers of gravity that can be targeted.

And since they are indigenous to the area and united with the local people, their human intelligence (humint) is far more superior to that of the invaders. They will also enjoy a tremendous advantage in psychological operations (psyops), for it is much easier to mobilize nationalist sentiments against a foreign occupier than for an aggressor to justify occupation.

Asymmetric warfare may be compared to a fierce lion invading the territory of a school of piranhas; or a king cobra encroaching into a colony of fire ants. The lion may be the king of beasts, mighty and strong, but it is no match against the tiny piranhas in their own territory. The sharp fangs and claws of the lion are rendered useless. The same is true with the cobra's venom. The analogy applies to the French in Dien Bien Phu, the Soviets in Afghanistan and the Americans in Vietnam and now in Iraq.

Asynchronous warfare
Aside from asymmetric warfare, weak nations fighting the strong can also avail themselves of asynchronous warfare. If a strong nation invades or occupies a weak one, the weak bides its time before striking back. And it strikes at a time and place when and where the adversary least expects.

An example is Iraq. The underground resistance movement in Iraq may recruit Iraqi scientists or sympathetic scientists of other nationalities to infiltrate the US (via the Mexican border, for instance) and manufacture dirty bombs as well as chemical and biological weapons inside the US. Such weapons may be brought to Washington and detonated in or near the US Congress.

They could also hire a private plane, or buy one themselves, and use it to spread biological or chemical weapons they have manufactured in-country over New York or Washington. They can mail letters containing anthrax to key offices of vital services all over the US and paralyze utilities and other government functions nationwide.

Or they can smuggle, say, the components of a hundred portable surface-to-air missiles, assemble them in the US, and employ them simultaneously in all of the major airports in America. Or they can employ those portable surface-to-air missiles to simultaneously target American airlines taking off or landing in different international airports all over the world.

Some major powers may pass on their research on RMA (revolution in military affairs) to the Iraqi resistance to be tested inside the US. These weapons include laser weapons, ultrahigh frequency weapons, ultrasonic wave weapons, stealth weapons, high-powered microwave weapons and electromagnetic guns. They include miniature robot ants that infiltrate computers, stay dormant and then activate on the signal to destroy their hosts. The Iraqi underground could also recruit hackers to work inside and/or outside the US to hack into key US systems.

American crossroad
As the sole superpower, the US stands at a critical crossroad. One road leads to world domination. Using its pre-eminent military war machine without equal, it can strike at any perceived threat, change foreign sovereign regimes at will, grab precious mineral resources anywhere in the world and control local economies with its host of transnational corporations. It can also sabotage the economy of up-coming rivals, or launch preventive wars to preempt prospective competitors and try to defeat them militarily while they are still weak compared to America.

Such a course of action is very tempting, especially to leaders with global ambitions of becoming "Lords of the Earth". But such a road is full of risks and what is planned on paper, as what was done in Iraq, may not turn out as hoped. And such a path will necessarily ignite the outrage of most right-thinking people. America will earn for itself the enmity and hatred of people all over the world.

America had outlined its blueprint for world domination, by force if necessary, in the following documents:

National Security Strategy of the United States of America, September 2001

President George W Bush's speech at the Graduation Ceremony at West Point, June 1, 2002

Rebuilding America's Defenses: Strategy, Forces and Resources for the New Century, a report of the Project for the New American Century, September 2000

Defense Planning Guidance written by then deputy defense secretary Paul Wolfowitz in February 18, 1992

In these documents, the US outlined some of its new doctrines and policies, such as: preventive war, pre-emptive military action, unilateralism, regime change, acting as the world's constabulary or "cavalry", establishment of military bases and spreading US forces all over the world, control of outer space and the global commons of cyberspace and control of the world's oil resources.

The alternate road, on the other hand, leads to world leadership. The US can choose to use its power, wealth and influence to sincerely do good for the people on this planet. It can lead in easing or obliterating the debt burden of poor nations, or in promoting the spread of quality education through distance learning in remote villages of developing countries.

It can focus in the fight against poverty, or the fight against drugs, or the effort to save the deteriorating environment of planet earth. It can lead the fight against HIV/AIDS, or malaria and other deadly diseases. The whole world is waiting for the US to lead in these important battles.

If the US chooses to focus its huge resources on the latter, I am confident that it will gain the hearts and minds of people all over the world. Then it can be a true world leader. Then it can maintain its preeminent world status. By gaining the world's sympathy and support, terrorism directed against Americans and the US mainland will be greatly minimized. The alternate road, in fact, is the key to defeating the phenomenon of "terrorism" gripping the world today.

Victor N Corpus is a retired brigadier general. He has a master's degree in public administration from the Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. His major assignment while serving in the armed forces of the Philippines was as chief of the intelligence service.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » October 16th, 2008, 6:51 pm

This is for both Azure and Sentenza that say India and China won't make up over their border issues. May I remind you that guarenteed world domination is a good reason to come to an agreement about the borders.

The US got burned badly when it got rejected for observer status in the SCO in 2005. India is an observer of the SCO(Shanghai Cooperation Organisation) and has been pressured repeadetly by members of the SCO to itself become a member. India is not apart of any military alliance with the US or European nations. In fact, it has more to gain economically and politically if it was to engage in an operation for economic growth with both Russia and China instead of the US and Europe, which are geographically further thus transportation of goods and distribution of services are more expensive than Russia and China. India is already poor as fuck, China is improving it's conditions and it's using the USA's trade deficit as an advantage to gaining ground, and Russia is already fast becoming an economic powerhouse thanks to Germany.

One rule of World War 3 is that without India, there cannot be a valid axis on the Russian side. Russia, China and India together are a MUST.

How about Pakistan? It's a muslim nation, and it won't even join the alliance just because of Pakistan and their muslim allies, and of course the Muslim nations will play a big part being the allies of Russia and China, and I know Babmuk or Vostok Destila how the fuck you were called will disagree on this, and of course I should be enclined towards hating muslims myself and calling them terrorists just like the Americans because of the Albanians and Roma, but that's not the case since the Roma are originally Hindu's and most of them originate in India, others originate in Turkey and they don't call themselves Gypsies but Turks, and the rest originate in Egypt which before 3000 years worshipped the Sun, not Allah. The Albanians are not even real muslims, before the Turks came they were Orthodox Christians, when the Turks/Ottoman Empire occupied the Balkans they were the only people that became muslims in order not to be slaughtered like the rest of us, and most of them aren't even Illiryan tribes which are Celts like the Irish, most of them are from Azerbajan and those Turkic-Mongolid mixture of peoples. No reason for hate especially since muslims aren't our problem. Pakistan and India's problems aren't even religion related, they are a border issue just like India and China, but unlike India and China, Pakistan and India's problems are more socially dependent on hate than India and China's, which are more politically dependant on hate. Crazy as it may sound, I believe India and Pakistan will make up, and this will make India and China making up a no problem solution...

Boom. SCO vs. NATO

Just to give you an impression of which countries will be at the start of the war, mind that if we join NATO by then it won't be any problem just like Bulgaria, when the Russians come we'll give up to their side:

Belgium
Bulgaria
Canada
Czech Republic
Denmark
Estonia
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Iceland
Italy
Latvia
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Slovakia
Slovenia
Spain
Turkey
United Kingdom
United States

+

South Korea
Taiwan
Israel
Mexico
Japan
Australia
New Zeland
South Africa

Philipines(?, because of US involvement there, unless government is overthrown before the war)

VS.

SCO + Allies

China
Kazakhstan
Kyrgyzstan
Russia
Tajikistan
Uzbekistan
India
Iran
Mongolia
Pakistan
North Korea
Serbia
Burma
Vietnam
Venezuela
Sudan
Syria
Lebanon
Libya
Zimbabwe
Nigeria
Argentina
Chile
Peru
Paraguay
Uruguay
Bolivia
Somalia
Ethiopia
Liberia
Algeria
Egypt
Laos
Cambodia
Thailand
Bangladesh
Nepal
Bhutan



(Possibility of Brazil + Indonesia-majority muslims)

Azure9920
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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Azure9920 » October 19th, 2008, 7:50 pm

I didn't read all that...

There are a few things wrong with your list though, you honestly think the second largest user of American aid is going to go against the US? lol...And Pakistan? NIGERIA?

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Sentenza » October 21st, 2008, 4:39 am

razbojnik wrote:This is for both Azure and Sentenza that say India and China won't make up over their border issues. May I remind you that guarenteed world domination is a good reason to come to an agreement about the borders.
The flaw in your elaborations is, that you kind of fall back to that black and white thinking. "The world hates the US therefore everyone will fight them". And even though there are a lot of resentments around the world particularly against the Bush administration, the US is still the biggest pimp worldwide and many countries would follow the promise of money and power. China and Russia dont have to offer what the US has and many countries would take that into their considerations when going to war and that includes India in my book. Japan too and a lot of other Asian Nations who would rather go to war with China then the US. That includes most of the SE Asian Nations. Korea and China together? Never.
As for Egypt and Argentina, just to name two of your examples. Egypt has decalarated they will not go to war within the next decades for any other reason then someone messing with the water supply of the Nile. They are in the process of becoming a close Ally of the US at the moment and US business is setting up shop in Egypt. There are plenty of Papa Johns, Pizza Huts, McDonalds and what not in Cairo. Mubarak kisses US ass. Argentina stands and falls with the US economy, they are 100% dependent of the US dollar.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Sentenza » October 21st, 2008, 4:49 am

Apart from that, i said it before and will say it again, WW3 will ook like this:

Image

Image

"I do not know with what weapons World War 3 will be fought, but World War 4 will be fought with sticks and stones."

Albert Einstein

So lets hope its not going to happen.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Kara Ben Nemsi » October 21st, 2008, 1:37 pm

People will follow their blood and religion at the end of the day. Except for modern liberal white people that is. They will go against it.

Image

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by Sentenza » October 21st, 2008, 4:30 pm

Kara Ben Nemsi wrote:People will follow their blood and religion at the end of the day. Except for modern liberal white people that is. They will go against it.

Image
I would say all of that comes behind money. Shit, even the Saudis allowed "Infidel" Soldiers on the holy places of Islam for money. China is erasing all of its ancient culture for money. Russians and Americans are both Christians but no one woud ever say they are allies. Japan would rather go at it with China rather then the US and so on. I think it s a bit more complex then that.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » October 23rd, 2008, 9:48 am

Azure9920 wrote:I didn't read all that...

There are a few things wrong with your list though, you honestly think the second largest user of American aid is going to go against the US? lol...And Pakistan? NIGERIA?
Read it, and rethink what you just said.

Nigeria? What? They use Russian weaponary, they might look Europeanized but think again. Just be realistic.

Your side, Azure, with the India part on it and all, IS NOT BEING REALISTIC, instead you're just hoping for what you think will help you win. It's nationalism, what makes you biased.

Hell, I don't want World War 3 to happen at all, I wanna be with America, Capitalism will make me rich, but still, there's no running away from the truth.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » October 23rd, 2008, 9:51 am

Sentenza wrote:
razbojnik wrote:This is for both Azure and Sentenza that say India and China won't make up over their border issues. May I remind you that guarenteed world domination is a good reason to come to an agreement about the borders.
The flaw in your elaborations is, that you kind of fall back to that black and white thinking. "The world hates the US therefore everyone will fight them". And even though there are a lot of resentments around the world particularly against the Bush administration, the US is still the biggest pimp worldwide and many countries would follow the promise of money and power. China and Russia dont have to offer what the US has and many countries would take that into their considerations when going to war and that includes India in my book. Japan too and a lot of other Asian Nations who would rather go to war with China then the US. That includes most of the SE Asian Nations. Korea and China together? Never.
As for Egypt and Argentina, just to name two of your examples. Egypt has decalarated they will not go to war within the next decades for any other reason then someone messing with the water supply of the Nile. They are in the process of becoming a close Ally of the US at the moment and US business is setting up shop in Egypt. There are plenty of Papa Johns, Pizza Huts, McDonalds and what not in Cairo. Mubarak kisses US ass. Argentina stands and falls with the US economy, they are 100% dependent of the US dollar.
I'm not saying everyone will fight them, half the world hates them, half the world loves them, depends on your experiance. I'm not the one that would fight for ideologies, I'm the one that would take part of the ones controlling the world so I'd be on top, we only have one lifetime.

Your whole statement has to do with money and power. Is America the only country that can guarentee a system that gives you money and power? Think about it.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » October 23rd, 2008, 9:52 am

Sentenza wrote:Apart from that, i said it before and will say it again, WW3 will ook like this:

Image

Image

"I do not know with what weapons World War 3 will be fought, but World War 4 will be fought with sticks and stones."

Albert Einstein

So lets hope its not going to happen.
Not you, Sentenza...

It's not a World War if the world gets destroyed in a few seconds. Why does everyone think this??? That was a threat 50 years ago, not anymore.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » October 23rd, 2008, 9:55 am

Kara Ben Nemsi wrote:People will follow their blood and religion at the end of the day.
True. When I asked my dad(he's strictly for Russia) if we were for Russia or America, he said my people were traitors, for America, not for our own blood. When I asked every single person here, they said the latter. You see what I'm saying? The government doesn't represent the people, even though that's the point. So what, you have leaders and politicans that kiss American ass and are mortals at the same time, governments can be overthrown.

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Re: World War 3

Unread post by razbojnik » October 23rd, 2008, 9:58 am

Azure9920 wrote:I didn't read all that...

There are a few things wrong with your list though, you honestly think the second largest user of American aid is going to go against the US? lol...And Pakistan? NIGERIA?
Members

China
Kazakhstan
Kyrgyzstan
Russia
Tajikistan
Uzbekistan

Observers

India
Iran
Mongolia
Pakistan

Pakistan already got into clashes with US troops. You saying shaking hands is impossible? How about Russia and China? Remember how bitter the Sino-Soviet split was? Remember China tilting towards America?

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